Fiscal Multipliers and Financial Crises
نویسندگان
چکیده
Abstract I study the effects of US fiscal policy response to Great Recession, accounting both for standard tools and financial sector interventions. A nonlinear model calibrated allows me state-dependent different policies. combine with data on find that fall in consumption would have been one-third larger absence response, a cumulative loss 7.18%. Transfers bank recapitalizations yielded largest multipliers through new transmission channels arise from linkages between household balance sheets.
منابع مشابه
Financial Crises and Political Crises∗
The simultaneous determination of financial default and political crises is studied in an open economy model. Political crises accompany default in equilibrium because of an information transmission conflict between the government and the public. Multiple equilibria are possible: if foreign lenders are pessimistic about the country’s stability, they demand a high interest on the debt, exacerbat...
متن کاملFiscal Multipliers in Japan
In this paper, we estimate government purchase multipliers for Japan, following the approach used previously for a panel of OECD countries (Auerbach and Gorodnichenko, 2013). This approach allows multipliers to vary smoothly according to the state of the economy and uses real-time forecast data to purge policy innovations of their predictable components. For a sample period extending from 1960 ...
متن کاملFiscal Deficits and Currency Crises
This paper investigates currency and financial crises in an optimizing general equilibrium model. It is shown that a rise in current and expected future budget deficits generates a real exchange rate appreciation and a decumulation of external assets, leading up to a currency crisis when foreign reserves approximate a critical level. Strong empirical support for our model is obtained by a probi...
متن کاملFiscal Austerity during Debt Crises∗
This paper constructs a dynamic model of government borrowing and default. The government faces a fiscal constraint in that it cannot raise tax rates. By defaulting on the debt, the government can increase domestic consumption. Two types of default arise in this environment: fiscal defaults and aggregate defaults. Fiscal defaults occur because the government cannot service the debt due to its i...
متن کاملAppendix to "Financial Crises and Political Crises"
PBE Type i: Neither default nor political crisis If V ≤ χL, the costs of default are always larger than the costs of servicing the debt even for the benevolent government. Then in equilibrium, the government proposes to service the debt, which is accepted by the representative agent. Hence the debt is repaid and political crisis is avoided. Neither the benevolent government nor the self interes...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: The Review of Economics and Statistics
سال: 2022
ISSN: ['0034-6535', '1530-9142']
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1162/rest_a_01163